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Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
[版面:股海弄潮][首篇作者:Goofinaround] , 2019年06月02日02:56:57 ,54236次阅读,451次回复
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Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 21 18:18:23 2020, 美东)

【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: Tesla新的5年目标价$6000!!是不是有点太夸张? 传统汽车市场还是比较保守的,
: 改变或颠覆需要时间。10年能达标就已经很可观了,如果10年后美国电车销量能够
: 反超油车的话。
:

老美消费者当下的购车意愿以及未来EV供需趋势,具体数据在今天发表的这篇报道里:


Tesla created demand for electric cars, but only for Teslas
Keith Naughton, Bloomberg Published 9:56 am CST, Tuesday, January 21, 2020


Tesla's stock is soaring, and traditional auto manufacturers are staging
glitzy presentations of new plug-in models. You'd think the electric-vehicle
age was finally dawning.

But so far, Tesla is the only car company looking likely to benefit in the
coming years. Look at every other corner of the U.S. auto industry -- the
world's most valuable automaker, dealers, consumer surveys and market
forecasts -- and a more ominous picture emerges.

A top American executive for Toyota Motor Corp., whose market value is still
more than double Tesla's even after Elon Musk's epic run, recently warned
of electric-car catastrophe. Auto retailers caution growth will be slow,
citing still-high battery costs and range constraints. 【And far more U.S.
shoppers are willing to kick the tires on a hybrid than cars that only plug
in.】

The cause for concern remains as EVs start to appear in showrooms in greater
numbers. 【The models on the market will swell almost sevenfold to 121
models in the next half decade, from 18 now, according to LMC Automotive.
But the researcher sees all those vehicles claiming just 5.5% of U.S. sales
in 2025.】

"We're going to see electrified Armageddon," Bob Carter, Toyota's executive
vice president of North American sales, told reporters in December. "Supply
is going to get ahead of true customer demand."

There is irony, of course, in Carter predicting an EV reckoning just as
Tesla was wrapping up a record year. The dim view he holds is not unique
among legacy automakers, which have spent more than a century building and
selling cars that burn fossil fuel. But that cautious mindset is rooted in
pragmatism -- profits remain elusive in the high-cost, high-price EV
business.

That's why Toyota and other automakers have been reluctant to dive head-
first into EVs until they're closer to reaching price parity with internal
combustion engine vehicles, which Bloomberg NEF predicts 【will happen
around 2024.】

Tesla is being rewarded for not waiting: Its shares surged another 6% on
Tuesday to $540.94, a new intraday record. The stock has doubled since Tesla
reported a surprise third-quarter profit in October, bringing the company
closer to a $100 billion market value.

EV sales are expected to grow to be roughly the size of the shrinking mid-
size car segment by mid-decade, to about 934,000 units, LMC says. But
whereas the meager family sedan market will be split between just 13 models,
the researcher expects there to be more than nine times as many EVs
fighting for air.

Thanks to its hot-selling Model 3 sedan, Tesla accounted for nearly eight-in
-10 EV sales in America last year. By 2025, LMC sees Tesla offering seven
models that will account for a quarter of segment sales. That would leave
the 114 competing offerings from other automakers averaging annual sales of
6,145 per model, or about 118 units a week.

"It's tough to make a business out of that volume per EV," said Jeff
Schuster, senior vice president of forecasting at LMC. "Electric vehicles
are the future. What's in question is when that future will arrive and when
it pays off? It's a long road and there definitely could be some carnage
along the way."

Automakers, fearing they'll be left behind if they don't accelerate their
shift from the internal combustion engine, are going to great lengths to
build buzz for new electric models.

Ford staged a star-studded unveiling of its Mustang Mach-E in an airplane
hangar a short stroll from SpaceX, Musk's rocket company. Porsche debuted
its Taycan using Niagara Falls, a Chinese wind farm and a German solar site
as backdrops.

But with the notable exception of the Model 3, consumers have not been
charged up by the highly touted electric offerings already on the market.

Sales of the Chevrolet Bolt sagged almost 9% last year and the Nissan Leaf
slumped 16%, with neither cresting 17,000 units. Last month, Mercedes-Benz
put off the U.S. debut of its first EV by a year after Jaguar and Audi
struggled to sell their first electric offerings.

【So far, only Tesla and its billionaire chief executive officer have come
up with an alluring amalgam of status and sex appeal.】

"Tesla has created the market by having a mystique," said Art St. Cyr, the
head of American auto operations for Honda Motor Co., pointing to Musk's
Model 3. "If Honda, Toyota, GM or Ford made that vehicle, we probably wouldn
't sell them in those numbers."

Honda, Ford and Toyota, which all have a history of selling hybrids, see
them prevailing for the time being because mainstream buyers continue to
suffer "range anxiety" -- the fear of being stranded by running out of juice
in an EV.

"People are not generally willing to pay more to be inconvenienced," St. Cyr
said.

General Motors Co. is jumping more aggressively into EVs, with plans to
field 20 models worldwide by 2023 and sell 1 million by 2026. It's joining
forces with South Korea's LG Chem Ltd. to build a $2.3 billion battery
factory in Lordstown, Ohio, where the car manufacturer stopped building
gasoline-fueled Chevrolet Cruze compacts last year.

"Customers aren't interested in hybrids," Mary Barra, GM's CEO, said during
an industry conference in November.

【But a study released by Deloitte this month found 27% of U.S. consumers
are actively considering a hybrid, while just 8% are looking at pure
electrics. Some 59% of Americans still want gasoline-powered cars, the
highest of any country Deloitte surveyed globally.】

【Government mandates have made China the world's top market for EVs, and
European regulators also are stimulating demand with incentives to help
reach more stringent goals for reduced emissions.】

【But in the U.S., where President Donald Trump has sought to ease car-
pollution rules and fuel is cheap, consumers are in no hurry to ditch the
gas pump. The Deloitte study found consumers in the U.S. are most concerned
about a lack of charging stations.】

"The automotive ecosystem still has some work to do in terms of making EVs
as easy and convenient as internal-combustion engines," said Craig Giffi,
Deloitte's vice chairman.

The onslaught of new EVs coming could actually help solve the problem. Until
now, most EVs other than Tesla's have been boring "compliance cars" aimed
at meeting tougher regulations, said Greg Brannon, director of automotive
engineering at 【AAA, which just conducted a survey that found 96% of EV
owners would buy another because the experience was better than expected.】

"Most people are looking for a crossover utility vehicle these days,"
Brannon said. "Now, we're seeing some of those coming, and that's what it's
going to take. It has to be something people want to drive and can get
excited about."

【The pickup segment, home to the three best-selling models in the U.S., is
about to get jolt, too. Musk caused a sensation with the unveiling of the
Cybertruck in November.】 Ford has an electric truck under development
recently filmed towing 1 million pounds of loaded rail cars. And Amazon.com
Inc.-backed Rivian Automotive Inc. plans to roll out its R1T starting late
this year.

But for all the hype about the chips automakers are pushing forward on the
table, it's unclear when or if their gamble will pay off.

"Somebody's got to buy these things," said Toyota's Carter. "There is a
market. The question is: How big and when will it mature?"




--
2Young2Naive

※ 来源:·WWW 未名空间站 网址:mitbbs.com 移动:在应用商店搜索未名空间·[FROM: 71.]

 
Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 21 18:30:43 2020, 美东)

The 100Bln hallmark of TSLA Market Cap was just reached in the after-hour
trading today!

TSLA Total Shares Outstanding (millions) 180

100,000,000,000/180,000,000 = 555.555

(TSLA Institutional Ownership @ 53.32%)
--
2Young2Naive

※ 来源:·WWW 未名空间站 网址:mitbbs.com 移动:在应用商店搜索未名空间·[FROM: 71.]

 
Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 21 18:47:49 2020, 美东)

TSLA数据因不同来源而有些微的差异:

Shares Outstanding 180.25 M
Public Float 133.84 M


【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: The 100Bln hallmark of TSLA Market Cap was just reached in the after-hour
: trading today!
: TSLA Total Shares Outstanding (millions) 180
: 100,000,000,000/180,000,000 = 555.555
: (TSLA Institutional Ownership @ 53.32%)



--
2Young2Naive

※ 来源:·WWW 未名空间站 网址:mitbbs.com 移动:在应用商店搜索未名空间·[FROM: 71.]

 
asmartin
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发信人: asmartin (常清阔), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 21 20:21:31 2020, 美东)

TSLA 10倍的话,需要达到全球所有automobile 一半的market share?


【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: Tesla新的5年目标价$6000!!是不是有点太夸张? 传统汽车市场还是比较保守的,
: 改变或颠覆需要时间。10年能达标就已经很可观了,如果10年后美国电车销量能够
: 反超油车的话。
: Tesla stock could hit $6,000 per share in the next five years, analyst
says 
: Emily McCormick Reporter Yahoo Finance
: The firm that once predicted Tesla (TSLA) shares would cross the
: $4,000 mark delivered a new, even more bullish price target for the
: electric-vehicle maker.
: Shares of Tesla could be worth $6,000 each in the next five years, Ark
: Investment Management analyst Tasha Keeney told Yahoo Finance’s The Final
: ...................



--
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atlantic7200
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发信人: atlantic7200 (Nikon), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Jan 22 04:18:31 2020, 美东)

请问还是打算600就出手么?
【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: 现在拿着TSLA就是拼信仰,精神原子弹,不管盘前盘后如何起伏,静等一个炸雷,ER
@1
: /29。
: 万一ER前后股价发疯冲过600,那我就不贪不拿了,全卖掉。现在股价@498,我加了
300
: 股。



--
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Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jan 23 19:09:28 2020, 美东)

【 在 atlantic7200 (Nikon) 的大作中提到: 】
: 请问还是打算600就出手么?
:

Yes.

Q3 ER bottom @ 311 x 2 = 622
418.33 (2019 Closing) x 1.5 (Up 50%) = 627.5

Will sell every single share above 620, if it'd ever get there. I've set
fatty stops for my TSLA holding now.

Tomorrow will be the OE day, and the volatility is supposed to be moderate.

Next week will be make-or-break for Tesla. The possibility of 2nd offering
is increasing rapidly.

--
2Young2Naive

※ 修改:·Goofinaround 於 Jan 24 00:21:28 2020 修改本文·[FROM: 71.]
※ 来源:·WWW 未名空间站 网址:mitbbs.com 移动:在应用商店搜索未名空间·[FROM: 71.]

 
Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jan 23 19:18:42 2020, 美东)

01/23/2020 Short Interest 总量未变 @ 20% of float.

TSLA short int is $15.17bn; 26.64mm shs shorted; 19.91% of float.
Shs shorted up +343k shs, +1.3%, over last 30 days as price rose +35.9%.
Shs shorted up +171k shs, +0.7%, last week.



319/31033
--
2Young2Naive

※ 修改:·Goofinaround 於 Jan 23 19:27:18 2020 修改本文·[FROM: 71.]
※ 来源:·WWW 未名空间站 网址:mitbbs.com 移动:在应用商店搜索未名空间·[FROM: 71.]

 
YWY
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发信人: YWY (夜未央), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Thu Jan 23 22:18:32 2020, 美东)

会做得可以抽插收割花街。

小蝌蚪我不会看中短期走向,所以就决定一根筋地捂着了。但愿一直拿着也不会差太多。

YMYD。

【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: Yes.
: 418.33 (2019 Closing) x 1.5 (Up 50%) = 627.5
: Will sell every single share above 620, if it'd ever get there. I've set
: fatty stops for my TSLA holding now.
: Tomorrow will be the OE day, and the volatility is supposed to be moderate.
: Next week will be make-or-break for Tesla. The possibility of 2nd offering
: is increasing rapidly.

【 在 atlantic7200 (Nikon) 的大作中提到: 】
: 请问还是打算600就出手么?

--
※ 来源:·WWW 未名空间站 网址:mitbbs.com 移动:在应用商店搜索未名空间·[FROM: 23.]

 
zhjzz1
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发信人: zhjzz1 (zhjzz1), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 24 00:22:52 2020, 美东)


【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: Yes.
: 418.33 (2019 Closing) x 1.5 (Up 50%) = 627.5
: Will sell every single share above 620, if it'd ever get there. I've set
: fatty stops for my TSLA holding now.
: Tomorrow will be the OE day, and the volatility is supposed to be moderate.
: Next week will be make-or-break for Tesla. The possibility of 2nd offering
: is increasing rapidly.


请问大牛,你为什么觉得2nd offering is very likely?
我怎么觉得不一定需要呢?
1. TSLA现在有5.3B cash 在账上,不缺钱
2. TSLA 现在有positive cash flow,随着上海厂的投产,margin 只会越来越好。
3. Elon的bonus structure allows him to earn $346M if market cap stays above
100B. He have all the motivation to keep the stock price high.
4. 以Elon Mask的尿性,他应该会和空头刚到底才对啊。。。

Just my 2 cents.
--
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Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 24 00:37:56 2020, 美东)

You're absolutely right. Heard of a few of major banks have been approaching
Tesla to offer the option. If Musk is super confident that share price will
come back by the end of the year, why he'd refuse the easy money? Truly a
win-win situation. So I just can't rule out this scenario as a black swan
event...

The easy money from a 2nd offering would benefit:

1) Make Tesla a debt free company.
2) Start-up costs @ new Shanghai plant & for Model Y production
3) More working capital for the activity in g3/g4/g5 in 2020


【 在 zhjzz1 (zhjzz1) 的大作中提到: 】
: 请问大牛,你为什么觉得2nd offering is very likely?
: 我怎么觉得不一定需要呢?
: 1. TSLA现在有5.3B cash 在账上,不缺钱
: 2. TSLA 现在有positive cash flow,随着上海厂的投产,margin 只会越来越好。
: 3. Elon的bonus structure allows him to earn $346M if market cap stays
above
: 100B. He have all the motivation to keep the stock price high.
: 4. 以Elon Mask的尿性,他应该会和空头刚到底才对啊。。。
: Just my 2 cents.
--
2Young2Naive

※ 修改:·Goofinaround 於 Jan 24 09:13:29 2020 修改本文·[FROM: 71.]
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Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 24 08:42:58 2020, 美东)

It is imminent for Tesla to have an impact on the operation of g3 factory in
Shanghai from the epic Coronavirus outbreak (新型肺炎).

News are flooded in in the morning, and I try to update.

1. Wuhan Coronavirus infection (新型肺炎) outbreak got broadened
dramatically. Unofficial data shows the infected patient number in Hubei
province alone exceeds 300K. Over 500K Wuhan residents, many are infected,
escaped the city before the lockdown, lots of them went to Shanghai &
Beijing for superior medical cares.

2. This new Coronavirus can be transmitted without causing fever, so it’s
easier than SARS for the infection to travel globally undetected.

3. The coronavirus outbreak in Shanghai is widely expected just in one week
by various sources & experts, and a lockdown of the entire city will be most
likely followed.

4. Tesla China has 6+% of its employees came from Hubei.

5. The impact of the epic Coronavirus Outbreak (新型肺炎) on the operation
of g3 factory in Shanghai is imminent. Be prepared for a panic mode.

God bless Chinese people, while the most of them don't believe him.

In Tesla We Trust, 'çuz he's an alien from outer space :)


323/31534
--
2Young2Naive

※ 修改:·Goofinaround 於 Jan 24 10:31:58 2020 修改本文·[FROM: 71.]
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Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 24 17:03:53 2020, 美东)


【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: The 100Bln hallmark of TSLA Market Cap was just reached in the after-hour
: trading today!
: TSLA Total Shares Outstanding (millions) 180
: 100,000,000,000/180,000,000 = 555.555
:

今天mm拿武汉肺炎这事儿砸盘,把我的TSLA holding value砸了个坑。SPX大跌52点,
自去年10月以来近四个月头一回跌幅这么大。

股市暴跌好的一面,是可以验证持股的抗跌性。TSLA守住了100Bln/555这个心理关键点
,股价这两天在此做了个double bottom,下周大盘如果不接着大跌的话,ER前应可稳
住。

Q4的2020 guidelines将会超级靓丽。Q4 Rev/EPS很强,2019成为特斯拉的一个GAPP盈
利年。


盘后川普刚发的推,急了:)

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
China has been working very hard to contain the Coronavirus. The United
States greatly appreciates their efforts and transparency. It will all work
out well. In particular, on behalf of the American People, I want to thank
President Xi!
4:18 PM · Jan 24, 2020·Twitter for iPhone


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2Young2Naive

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此主题相关图片如下:

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Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Fri Jan 24 17:53:42 2020, 美东)

从我的统计来看,版上对TSLA的兴趣明显降低,推测大多数散户已经出清持股。高处不
胜寒。

从小时图上看,特斯拉股价自从去年12月以来经历了5波下跌,其后各自形成一个历时
两天的上攻平台。本周四周五形成的第5个平台,结果会走成怎样?还需拭目以待:

1)3D 12/30-12/31 下跌幅度 -34/-7.8%,平台中轴线 @ 420,上涨幅度+52/+12.9%
2)2D 01/03-01/06 下跌幅度 -14/-3.1%,平台中轴线 @ 445,上涨幅度+58/+13.1%
3)3D 01/09-01/10 下跌幅度 -28/-5.6%,平台中轴线 @ 477,上涨幅度+74/+15.6%
4)4D 01/16-01/17 下跌幅度 -54/-9.8%,平台中轴线 @ 508,上涨幅度+101/+20.5%
5)3D 01/23-01/24 下跌幅度 -41/-6.9%,平台中轴线 @ 565,上涨幅度+ ??/+ ??%

如果TSLA在ER之前从此处上涨,涨幅+12.9% = 555x1.129 = 626 --> 2
如果TSLA在ER之前从此处上涨,涨幅+15.6% = 555x1.156 = 642 --> 4
如果TSLA在ER之前从此处上涨,涨幅+20.5% = 555x1.205 = 668 --> 6


注意!!

下周一开盘值得关注!下周一开盘值得关注!下周一开盘值得关注!重要事情说三遍:)

TSLA周线图里一月份的三个bar,间隔都是以gap up开局,第二周周一跳空17开盘,
第三周周一跳空20开盘,一二不过三,或许下周一mm如法炮制,直接先拉开距离制造
空头恐慌,借力使力。如果下周一没有gap up开局,那就是mm改变策略了。但是感觉
这种可能性小于50%,成功的操盘策略,都会反复用到烂为止。

另外刚了解到的一个情况,就是TSLA增发几率大增。Elon是聪明人,他最近找人在了
解武汉肺炎的流行情况,并研判其对公司营运可能的影响,productivity bottleneck的
状况势必深度连累股价和信誉。山雨欲来,要未雨绸缪筹集足够的capital以应对可能
的变局,手里周转得灵活,dry powder多多益善,活命要紧。当然我们尚不知道定论,
但是不能不考虑预案。无论如何,我都会在下周三Q4 ER前清仓观望,并以straddles
代替持股来bet on the higher volatility after ER。无它,上天,或入地。

Good luck, my friend。。。



324/31773
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2Young2Naive

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chiara777
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发信人: chiara777 (Chiara), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 25 00:52:22 2020, 美东)

兴趣不减,大家只是都在围观学习中。。。这个页面本月一直开着:D
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bianren
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发信人: bianren (扁人), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 25 00:58:30 2020, 美东)

香颂新年好!

我觉得668比较吉利。应该会达到668.



【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: 从我的统计来看,版上对TSLA的兴趣明显降低,推测大多数散户已经出清持股。高处不
: 胜寒。
: 从小时图上看,特斯拉股价自从去年12月以来经历了5波下跌,其后各自形成一个历时
: 两天的上攻平台。本周四周五形成的第5个平台,结果会走成怎样?还需拭目以待:
: 1)3D 12/30-12/31 下跌幅度 -34/-7.8%,平台中轴线 @ 420,上涨幅度+52/+12.9%
: 2)2D 01/03-01/06 下跌幅度 -14/-3.1%,平台中轴线 @ 445,上涨幅度+58/+13.1%
: 3)3D 01/09-01/10 下跌幅度 -28/-5.6%,平台中轴线 @ 477,上涨幅度+74/+15.6%
: 4)4D 01/16-01/17 下跌幅度 -54/-9.8%,平台中轴线 @ 508,上涨幅度+101/+20.5%
: 5)3D 01/23-01/24 下跌幅度 -41/-6.9%,平台中轴线 @ 565,上涨幅度+ ??/+ ??%
: 如果TSLA从此上涨,涨幅+12.9% = 555x1.129 = 626 --> 2
: ...................



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lagolago
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发信人: lagolago (lagolago), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sat Jan 25 09:21:51 2020, 美东)

并以straddles
代替持股来bet on the higher volatility after ER。

============

大多数都会bet high volatility after ER
我到觉得有可能是猪
主要原因:

1. 应该看到,有新的资金进入
2. SEO的可能性很大,为了增发,股价要稳定;SEO 对 TESLA 是好消息
3. ER 好坏,都是街上解读而已
4. 即使MISS,guidance 应该不错

准本持股过ER
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zhjzz1
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发信人: zhjzz1 (zhjzz1), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 26 00:07:42 2020, 美东)


【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: 从我的统计来看,版上对TSLA的兴趣明显降低,推测大多数散户已经出清持股。高处不
: 胜寒。
: 从小时图上看,特斯拉股价自从去年12月以来经历了5波下跌,其后各自形成一个历时
: 两天的上攻平台。本周四周五形成的第5个平台,结果会走成怎样?还需拭目以待:
: 1)3D 12/30-12/31 下跌幅度 -34/-7.8%,平台中轴线 @ 420,上涨幅度+52/+12.9%
: 2)2D 01/03-01/06 下跌幅度 -14/-3.1%,平台中轴线 @ 445,上涨幅度+58/+13.1%
: 3)3D 01/09-01/10 下跌幅度 -28/-5.6%,平台中轴线 @ 477,上涨幅度+74/+15.6%
: 4)4D 01/16-01/17 下跌幅度 -54/-9.8%,平台中轴线 @ 508,上涨幅度+101/+20.5%
: 5)3D 01/23-01/24 下跌幅度 -41/-6.9%,平台中轴线 @ 565,上涨幅度+ ??/+ ??%
: 如果TSLA在ER之前从此处上涨,涨幅+12.9% = 555x1.129 = 626 --> 2
: ...................


大牛,如果周一TSLA(跳空)低开,横盘或走低,你会怎么处理?
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Goofinaround
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发信人: Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 26 00:48:33 2020, 美东)

我什么都不做,ER将至,不信东风唤不回。

如果低开20或更多,那就立马加仓。

【 在 zhjzz1 (zhjzz1) 的大作中提到: 】
: 大牛,如果周一TSLA(跳空)低开,横盘或走低,你会怎么处理?



332/32382
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atlantic7200
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发信人: atlantic7200 (Nikon), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Sun Jan 26 07:56:18 2020, 美东)

香颂改变周五的看法, 决定抱过ER直到620出么?

老的空头之前上590已经挤过一次, 剩的估计都是死硬派. 540以后入场的空头, 价差不
大恐怕很难吓跑. 估计还是看ER.
另外能不能请教一下中期看short squeeze过程对股价拉升幅度可能有多少呢?
谢谢
【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: 我什么都不做,ER将至,不信东风唤不回。
: 如果低开20或更多,那就立马加仓。
: 332/32382



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whereare
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发信人: whereare (whereare), 信区: Stock
标  题: Re: 特斯拉:TSLA股价将会止跌回升
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Tue Jan 28 11:40:13 2020, 美东)

这次肺炎疫情对大盘影响可能会很大,短期世界经济调整都看来难免,我打算出一部分
仓位避险,另外一部分换成btc和eth虚拟币。

不过tsla还是建议长期持股,至少一年以上,最好5年为单位,就当存银行。



【 在 Goofinaround (香颂   fears4tears) 的大作中提到: 】
: It is imminent for Tesla to have an impact on the operation of g3 factory
in
:  Shanghai from the epic Coronavirus outbreak (新型肺炎).
: News are flooded in in the morning, and I try to update.
: 1. Wuhan Coronavirus infection (新型肺炎) outbreak got broadened
: dramatically. Unofficial data shows the infected patient number in Hubei
: province alone exceeds 300K. Over 500K Wuhan residents, many are i

★ 发自iPhone App: ChinaWeb 1.1.5
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