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文章阅读:Let’s discuss the death rate
[同主题阅读] [版面: 葵花宝典] [作者:guvest] , 2020年02月05日21:19:26
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发信人: guvest (我爱你老婆Anna), 信区: Programming
标  题: Let’s discuss the death rate
发信站: BBS 未名空间站 (Wed Feb  5 21:19:26 2020, 美东)

Let
D = death population today
I = infected population today
C = cured population today
S = suspected population today

Let’s define the death rate as :
  AFTER the event finished, the total death population / total infected
population

Since the event did not finish yet, we need a statistic algorithm to infer
the death rate based on different assumptions.
Below is some simple candidates:
(1) D/I, ignored the delay cure, delay confirmed, etc
(2) D/(D  plus C), ignored the suspected population

Would you please give some more estimation of the death rate?

I believed that the total average of all algorithms will be very accurate.

[
These type of group wisdom had been verified by a baseball game
website.]




--
※ 修改:·guvest 於 Feb  5 21:21:02 2020 修改本文·[FROM: 76.]
※ 来源:· 未名空间站 网址:mitbbs.com 移动:在应用商店搜索未名空间·[FROM: 76.]

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